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Wednesday, February 2, 2011

The sleepy town thinking

As I read Asian economic outlook of one of the major international investment banks in a plane.  What I wanted to find out between the lines is the crisis mtrkmt somewhere in the world.  An event to the emerging Asian markets have seen the trend last year, it must be the same size as the flu from Asia in 1997 or sub-prime mortgage of the u.s. banking crisis, 2007-2008.  Euro zone sovereign debt crisis will not be as harmful as you can muster enough resources within euroland countries among themselves.  Only negative is put drag economic growth overall.


Here in Asia, sovereign debt as a percentage of GDP is relatively low, there is a small percentage of Government.  For example, the Philippines has a foreign debt of approximately a quarter of its GDP; considers that of low single digit.  ASEAN 5 has a similar debt ratio which is really off-shoot of the Asian financial crisis in 1998.  China tries to growth, but some strong economy of growth seems to perpetuate itself.


In any case, potential problems such as crises of two decades with the dot-com bubble at the turn of the century they place still on the horizon.  Yes, but not to the inflationary pressure was in 1982 when interest rates were sky high lgilaim high vaashrim low. (Yes, I was already trading then but the FX markets.)  A really great question us locally is the major economic bottleneck, we see that are difficult to overcome.


I save the scan the landscape because I don't want to be blindsided by the majority of people were in 2007.  Sub-prime and banking crises was Bell the ugly head of it, but many chose to ignore the early signs.  As a result, the master bath.  I don't think China is going to bring ??????? credit crisis.  If any, must squeeze credit collapse it.  Us from the beginning to pick up steam, the manufacturing sector has undo decades of a down trend.  At the top of all this, they are very far away and so far there are no potential bottlenecks.  Housing may take some time to recover in the United States, but I think it is also that there is already one or two bytes.  Why buy more?


Nevertheless, I think that the last few days of this Union.  No I each person must be a hero.  I actually encourage people to sell the rallies, postures have to get back some cash.  We had to be trapped in this range for several more months.  It can be a wide range of evolving trading.  It may be counter intuitive thinking time.

20 January 2011-posted by Gus Cosio | Financial markets are in Asia be first like this post.

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