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Friday, February 25, 2011

Holding pattern

: 24 6 pm February 8, 2011

While understanding value was very unimpressive at-3.28 billion, what I liked is that foreign and familiar was 330 million or net has changed almost 10% of the total volume is still on the market.  PSEi was 1.55points the mere and only two stock-SM and AC-index 11 points.  Perhaps, foreign funds are not as intent to sell in the current level of the index as they are at higher levels.  I think that if we rise above the level of 4000 next week, we put a large wave of unknown because many foreign funds still you are looking at these figures 3Q2010.  Reports revenue of hmtmhim in 2010 have yet to see.  I think the transfer market is better for a stay in holding prices until the disclosed earnings reports full year.  Good trailing spaces on a fair share numbers provide guidance for stronger analyst predictions for 2011.  So far, is the only index that BPI between heavies gave the full-year discovery.  While the initial sell was in BPI after report, demand a strong 2011 valuations appeared reasonable.

Nevertheless, I think ??????? some short-term trading ideas.  Mining sector, NIKL is looking at a neighbouring purpose of 24-eyes by analysts-very strong very applicable.  Nickel spot prices in London Metals Exchange soars in us $ per ton metric 28,350 already $ 27,000 soup this week.  NIKL has a very large stockpile of nickel low-grade which still commands prices.

For those who plan on mhcbi Ofrat will fly in the end, you have to hold your breath a bit more, but it may be worth the wait.  I hear another group of analysts and fund you can fly to Palawan over the week which would put the credibility loss on the stock.  Again, the ore is a very volatile stock that is not experienced heart especially if there is no real losses or stomach.

Copper prices have soared and it is also above the $10,100 why interest is a good look in PX after slipping from 16.20 high before 3 weeks to current levels around 14.70.  I believe that like how portfolios against inflation hedge, base metal prices should remain buoyant make mining stock with a high production such as PX to trade safety.  I suppose AT should be climbing well and should not be ignored for the SCC.  It takes a long time of coal prices stabilise and SCC trading round 10.5 X 2011 earnings still quite attractive.

Shares of miners that I think are worth looking at today is AGI Tel AGI because its revenue 3 years will continue to be strong and its core earnings Tel because grows slightly above GDP gross and stock yield is good.  Otherwise, I recommend to be counter-intuitive thinking because and we will be a range bound most of the stock.  Sell when it hovers, buying when the tanks.

February 8, 2011-posted by Gus Cosio | Financial markets are in Asia be first as this time.

View the original article here

Times are hard!

7: 30 pm Tuesday 15 February 2011

Our method is the market is still weak.  Traffickers continue to appear on a market power between large investors jitters.  Even understanding on smaller value offers today the market will not remain bearish message that would embrace the market since the beginning of the year.  In fact, the global market hmirim is still looking for a solid trend.  Even if the money has already been moved back to the United States and Europe from the market wakes up, there were no strong signs of a conviction for these markets.  I'm warning everyone, therefore, not to see strong rises above the prices these days.  If at all, the price action in this direction has met with some sales.

For what its worth, I'd like to share some views on the stock based on my observation of their price over the last few days.  I call it this way.  Strong stocks that appear to continue to hold its own against all that is negative in the market are AP DMC, JGS, NIKL, PX. These look stock to sell little happens.  In fact, you can find the buyers are bmtavl.  Stock as AEV looks at selling more spaces taking off because of its recent price spike.  Between banks, would appear to be vmbt in stocks rebound, but sustained the bounce is another matter.

In my opinion, that they KEEP stock bottoming, MER, BPI, electric, URC, SLI, SECB CEB.  You can see from their covert base price action where buyers come out.  In my opinion they are slowly accumulate a stock.  FLI is one of the stock plans to double bottom bouncing, buy trade.

Between the stock that look very weak are ore, PNB.  While these stocks already oversold, casting continue.  Tell, however, particularly at this level is cheap but the discovery of mglobos cut dividend payment cash has cast over the dividend of Pál Tel.

I don't know when the negatives of the market at all.  There are two strategies – select stock that do they want and nibble slowly or find stocks that look as if they are ready to be a technical rebound and select it up short-term trading.  It's hard times ahead, so we have another toughen or we lose.

15 February 2011-posted by Gus Cosio | Financial markets are in Asia be first as this time.

View the original article here

This is beyond stubborn?

: 20 5 pm Thursday February 10, 2011

Wow! This is one of the trading day, the worst I have seen since I followed closely the Philippine market.  Can you imagine, of 20 most active stocks, each red with the exception of the BPI was just the same.  Yesterday, I think because and selling by foreign funds were thinned, things start to get better.  I shrug my hopes have 3800 level.  Now that he gets a pass, I think that is almost at hand 3620.  There was no specific reason for the cancellation of the sale except that the entire area were all saved Shanghai Sydney red.  Anyway, the PSEi was a loser, down 2.73% with integrated following the second far KLSE in-2.09%.  High tide is surely against us.

Well, it is really very good valuations are.  Unfortunately, valuations are not what merchants are looking at now.  People simply looking for sell at all if it makes sense or not.  One thin ???? I noticed is the strong stock remained strong.  Take, for example, DMC.  The stock mlgath languishing between 32 to 35 a few weeks now, but it did not see for sale-not drastically today.  It just slipped from 33.10 yesterday to 33.50 today.  Same thing with AP, 27.30 closes today from 27.50 yesterday.  Of course he gave a little scare when he touched 26.85, but the fact that it was much higher tells us that there are shoppers ' value.  BPI close dictate also shares traded lower yesterday of 52; Again, people are a step for this stock.  JGS close 19.50 against yesterday's close of 19.60; Perhaps most sellers JGS disappeared port already.

The stock that is down from today through the large, 5.25%.  I hear people reacted as a statement December 2010 published terms of ?????? decrease in total loans and assets total mmazn was published in September 2010.  Another stock, electrical strong basics, but yield is the largest of suffering for the day with a blue chip companies-6.98% blood drop.  This is a stock that I really love taking my portfolio only yesterday (Wednesday), but it gave me losing one peso a day already.

Again the big question is this market would keep those levels.  I want to see this happening but I'll do my life line for it.  I think until the general feeling in the up market resort, we will not get much of a stretch.  Not only must these sell stop, but also has the propensity to sell die.  Fear of disturbing the market for more than 6 weeks, people are afraid.  In my opinion one will not be a hero, at this point.  I think buffer sliders are all for net bouquet has watched closely so that when they play, go local for the stock from the basement levels.

This market will not change its direction.  We have to be very sensitive, or does not change the emotion.  People have become very concerned about future inflation and monetary conditions is narrow.  Mindset of the type that does not make itself quickly.  However, there will be special situations that will allow us to make money; But it was not long in 18 months.  Investors must be very selective, bold yet prudent.

10 February 2011-posted by Gus Cosio | Financial markets are in Asia be first as this time.

View the original article here

Thursday, February 24, 2011

Biblical proportions

This is a bloodbath of biblical proportions if you look at what's happening in Asia.  While the PSEi down 1.39%, the Shanghai composite is down 2.60%, the Hang Seng down 2.11%, Nikkei down 1.78%, Jakarta down 1.33%, Singapore down% height, KOSPI down 1.76%, Taiwan down 1.87.  Europe also open with different degrees of balance of sale, all of this because Maumar Khadafy decide to shoot down protesters were President of Libya.

Implications reach it since the big picture is the fermentation of the Middle East and Africa North that make up the many OPEC countries.  Contracts-West Texas intermediate oil for delivery in March-shot 7.44% overnight.  With inflation originating from agricultural goods already having extremely large price spikes, the last thing the world needs is interrupted the flow of oil OPEC may cause very high fuel prices down the road.

Implication for the market's liquidity is if the world is being used to finance all kinds of goods, money into financial assets have contracted.  Initial emotion looks like fuel be poured into inflationary psychology, I think it is bad for markets.  Some already saw inflation be the enemy but it is only now beginning to look like a formidable task.

22 February 2011-posted by Gus Cosio | Financial markets are in Asia be first as this time.

View the original article here

Effect in February

Thursday 10 February 2011

It seems that we can escape the negative emotion of higher interest rates down the road.  Stock basiati are usually down with most players wary about rate hike in China yesterday.  Hong Kong-based economist at Credit Agricole, says: "global markets can begin to see frequent walking as a slow rate of growth in China is inevitable.  But in the end, the break you can see a sign of strength, with solid growth boom that allows policy makers to raise the rates ".  The guy probably means that in no financial sources are worried about stopping the growth boom in China.  Only have to cool inflationary forces before it more successful structurally prevents growth.

Real prices has been important for China since 2007 with the related asset prices if in the Olympics.  In fact, the real prices have cooled, but commodity prices moved higher.

In the Philippines, the real prices with security crawls up also among developers. I'm not sure if the confidence of developers is reliable enough, but I have been exposed through the mass media that it plans to beat its record of vrchibio residential property PhP50billion in 2010 with double-digit growth for at least 2011.  Take-up sales by police in 2010 FLI were very encouraging.  Police disclosed sales of PhP39.6bn (+51%) While the FLI said sales were PhP9.9bn (+42%).  Should be very good prospects for 2011 as Bank country of players more aggressively walked up with suggestions for FTI-103 property from police affiliate to me PhP14billion above the minimum price of PhP13billion DoF.  Special offer for it to be an electrical property last month, the amount of mshtpi.

Strong fundamentals but certainly will control the emotion and the property they stock trend between players the worst YTD: police (17%), electrical (14%), and FLI (11%). I mention it is because our seminar last week, our analyst to put some stock symbol using the Stock Screener of Benjamin Graham, electric stood out.  I also report large byte property having a top stock pick like electrical.  Considering the interest shown by some readers of this blog, I thought it appropriate to mention the electric sector which are property and be a smart and economical defensive valuations.

I was not realize the impact of January this year.  In fact, the market was very negative January take even lower in February.  Net foreign selling, although still not have slowed down.  Emotion will eventually through the basics.  It would be a smart stick to stock with strong foundations.

10 February 2011-posted by Gus Cosio | To be first as this time.

View the original article here

Evolving community of people reasonable and

11: 30 Sunday February 13, 2011

During the week I read some comments on the blog was indecent or harsh language.  I noticed also a part of an exchange of notes that were exceeding the bounds of an exchange of ideas I try to promote this site free.  I would like to remind our readers that we need to rise above narrow interests that this not meant our my blog.  If you notice, I did not then my ideas.  If some ask me, I give it as I see it objectively.  I also claims I knew everything, and I say I say this all is infallible on the blog.   I'm doing this blog for those who want to learn things on the market.  I my goal and the investment's advocate sharing my ideas is that people read my article eventually will be a good experience in the market.

Sometimes, I calls on some stock because it is how I process the information.  A regular follower with a little common sense should malalim after a certain amount of time and how to process information in a way that matches the parameters of its investment.  I do much stock on this site; When I push the ideas which is what investors typically receive from their advisers.

Therefore I ask all who post comments on the site this must be their relationship and civil language.  After all, if you are not satisfied with what other people say, you just ignore it.  What I really want to develop this site is community investing where people help each other build up to contribute to the growth of our own capital market.  Let us not be operating as of cancer leagues mind people who we all hate.  Let us be people of motives and genuine.  We all want to make money, of arguing point someone to death is not just how to do this.  What really serve us is if we are practical in everything we say.

If you have a trading system or technique to share, fine.  If you are not satisfied with being offered trading style, fine also.  As I said two readers about their argument over this site, in the end, this is a market who sets true.  That's why I announce my points about following the market and what thoughts from gleaning market action is telling us.  Remember, the stock market is the accumulation of all the information available.  Art is a desire for more moves than did not want to practice cultivation.  You can make it work for you if you're the head of the Bull.

So much of it.

I received several texts expressing pleasure Egyptian crisis, people can start looking at the economic and market which need to manipulate the basics the course in the local market.  I thought what was driving our market developed markets was exodus.  Surely, foreign and familiar to many stock took effect.  Our market is down down from 10% of the level of the end of 2010, close to 20% from 2010 highs.  This is 670 points close of Thursday.  Levels where we are now doing a lot of sense to me.  After record-breaking 62% gain in 2009, I was actually expecting around 20% get index in 2010.  That was the end of the PSEi settle around 3615.  Instead, it far exceeded my expectation and infuriated, 4397 and closed at 4200 around.

Index back down to a level that does not appear to 3740, too far from where it should be.  Why 20% get index in 2010?  Because what is more or less in line with revenue aggregate of listed companies.   This is also consistent, in my opinion, with annual revenue growth of complex.  I think that exceeded market valuations are sophisticated portfolios.  I believe that s & p 500 was trading PE X 12.7 in December 2010 and the PSEi was trading at around 10.8% PE.  Today, you may already has relationship with PSEi already cheaper.  That's why I think we come close to the end of the turn off for sale.  Theoretically, the market can soak 3615 or 3620.  That level will be cheap for a good number of shares.  I must warn you, however, to stay with strong issues at this point.  Some favorite speculative, but if there was to be careful, he or she should have stayed with stock with strong earnings.

February 13, 2011-posted by Gus Cosio | Financial markets are in Asia be first as this time.

View the original article here

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

Hit the beaches

11: 10 pm Thursday 17 February 2011

Already on the road again, was not enough time to post my thoughts.  Davao City was very nice, tidy and clean-wide roads.  I want to visit the city again for a longer time. I love Davao pomeloes.

I also notice so much unpleasant posts are made.  Ignore such posts, not dignify it with a comment.  I want to suggest that people are on the site to do a little more and only comments that are constructive and intelligent.  This is not a site where everyone has to think the same way, so if people disagree or your point, please leave it at that.  I never intended this to convince people to buy site, sell or adopt my stock or the market views.  I want people to develop a stock market with comments I uploaded.  I want people to understand that there are vldiik local markets so that they will not become very bookish their investing or trading activities.

In any case, I am very pleased that there has been no recovery in the market last week, I remain cautious.  Today is a very good example of the market is strong, but foreign funds net sellers.  It is likely that they sold their lot because it had become Tel less important in the index.  That were previously foreign funds that are the main Philippine market Tel exposure.  Currently, there are other blue chips such as the AEV, AP, DMC, MBT, BPI, etc that can give exposure to Philippine better than Tel.

In General, I do not think that the broad-billed market go much higher because local investors remain wary of foreign funds.  Foreign funds, however, continue to reduce the exposure to the local market.  The wizard take a few weeks more before making changes to the emotion, so please think in terms of the trading range.  Nevermind if take short-term losses.  You can make it back if you trade successfully a range.

In the meantime, I'll be away from the beaches of Panglao island a few days.  I don't think this will work on the market away from me in any case, regardless of where it resides.

17 February 2011-posted by Gus Cosio | To be first as this time.

View the original article here

Fall in love? Happy Valentine's day!

3 pm Monday 14 February 2011

The rise in the market today should give relief to many investors.  The decline that we have seen so far does not look so sharp after all.  I warn you, however, this may be just two Raleigh repairs-buying back postures sold earlier or lower stock picking for conviction.  From understanding the value of a Php 3.74 billion a day, it does not look like the market sentiment has changed substantially.  Furthermore, we continue to see net foreign selling which indicates that the transition out of our markets are developing market is still not over.

People remain prudent and is a problem with such emotion is inviting the merchants sell on strength.  Judging by today's price action, I think local merchants are convinced that the market has been fully.  Many achievements of the day was at the expense of AC, Ali SMPH.  I was a good but AC and SMPH wasn't understanding on is impressive.  MBT accounted for some positive index points, but really looks more like rebound oversold levels.

Nevertheless, there are several sheets and especially of property dual SLI and FLI.  For active, FLI see sequence from there, making it trade safety.  Tel, electric, MBT and DGTL look me be very oversold like the disadvantage of these restricted stock risk.  KEEP it stock was quite a long period of consolidation, also approaching oversold levels.  It seems well supported under 5.50.  If these levels LPZ holds, we could see it go up a bit since 4.50 seem formidable level of support.

For PNB followers, I think ????? you may already have already collapsed out of that.  I think he can trade below 45 before moving forward because the stock is wide interest in 2010.  Perhaps, his men have shifted to another bank.  BPI is usually stock a bore, and it remains to be.  He apparently has its own if the market turns worse.  I think that people are willing to hold and sell the stock in anticipation of its cash dividend standard in March.  BPI remains be defensive stock.

Between the markets of Asia, we see today recover from MSCI ex Japan lost 2.6% in the last week which is one of the biggest release of the index.  I also saw investors good news boagdlt 51% imports in January.  This trend is quite for the Philippine exporters ' ratings take China in importing more from here.

I hope you will begin to play emotion because already in stock are the levels where the PSE downside risk might be impaired.  Unfortunately, because of the experience in the late 1970 's and 1980 ' ' s early, people have a hard time shaking the very inflationary expectations from their brain becomes self fulfilling sometimes phenomenon.  Fortunately, oil prices, that the intermediary contract WestTexas (WTI), lower trading at 85.22.  As long as one is aware of the risk of disadvantage, can be a profitable trade rebound that may have their bodies right here.  Just remember, a good investor never falls in love with a stock portfolio.

Happy Valentine's day.

14 February 2011-posted by Gus Cosio | Financial markets are in Asia be first as this time.

View the original article here

Sunday, February 6, 2011

Protecting profits

Asia stocks fell yesterday was probably why PSEi returned 10 points from its intra-day high of 4156.  The area was five weeks in a row of accomplishments, amid speculation Governments throughout the region will need to do more to tame inflation.  Asia-Pacific region MSCI index lost 0.6 percent. Recall that the Asian MSCI climbed high two-and-half years last week after Germany indicated that it would take the necessary steps to stem Europe's sovereign debt crisis.   MSCI Index Asia-Pacific region rose test percent last year, compared to gains of 12.8% by the S & P 500 and 8.6percent by Stoxx Europe 600 index. The index was important at all hours of the estimated revenue on average close to 14 last, compared to 3.1 times the s & P500 and by 11.2 Stoxx 600.  It's no wonder that the fund managers are few hours in the area since many want to protect their profits.


Inflation is probably a sword hanging over most of the markets in Asia.  I grew up in the area is a pressure on interest rates to limit the economic performance of some countries of the region.  In China, the big brother of the region, inflation expectations that you may click the Central Bank to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in February, after which the increase is added to the second quarter, according to Bloomberg.  Hang Seng Index dropped 0.5 percent; Nikkei 225 stock average was flat; Kospi and 0.4 percent.


Regional concerns of foreign funds appear to be its basis is on the market.  Elements may take a back seat, so that in spite of the strong developments in southern Philippines, we may see plays with local investors constructiveness.  Yesterday, November OFW remittances rose by 10.5% a year previous 1.61 billion.  Then a space 9.3 percent in October, and 8.2percent of 17.1 billion in 11 months to November.   Remittances currently account for 11 percent of GDP which makes hmtmhim GDP growth of 7 percent in 2010 will be applicable.  Full-year data on GDP will be reported on January 31.


Given this scenario, I think we will see the price gains until mid-February when most of the company's earnings report comes in the end.  But I was expecting a strong surge.  You can accumulate a stock that is relatively well shielded against inflation such as utilities and power.  They are allowed to add an add-in the fuel price rise when prices fuel.  By the way, the airlines can also add extra fuel price fares.


Inflationary expectations to housing demand may push and property, but see that mortgage rates have not really by importance, perhaps it is this part of the problem.  Companies who may or may not be collapsed both consumer companies such as URC, RFM points that may feel brunt rising agricultural commodity prices.


All can say it cannot be too bullish, but you can feel the up trend is still intact.  Volatility may rule for foreign funds and may be missing or not use strong days to escape.  Is the importance that we stick to stocks with strong fundamentals and therefore we potential weather all storms.  Extra, special situations such as CYBR will, learning resource, APC, and so on.  Remember that they are special situations when money management is essential, namely the protection of spaces is always a stock when touched.

18 January 2011-posted by Gus Cosio | Financial markets are in Asia be first like this post.

View the original article here

How to read the tables the stock market like a pro


Stock market news is all around us every day in various forms. It is on TV, it is on the ticker tapes in financial buildings, it is in the newspaper in the form of stock tables and it is on the internet. So how do you get the feeling that all financial data is coming from these resources? Learn to read on the stock market is an essential requirement for becoming a successful investor.Here are the basics you need to know.

How to read stock market tables

Open any newspaper that the financial section and you'll see a table full of numbers, arrows, and letters. This is usually a stock table and it wraps on stock market performance for that day, as well as provide previous data for comparative analysis.

Each paper stock tables may be slightly different, in General, they all contain the same basic info. Here is how you view the stock market:

52 week high: this figure gives you the highest price for a particular stock over the past 52 weeks. It is crucial to determine performance in stock over time and analyze trends.

52 week low: this figure will give you the lowest price for a share in the last 52 weeks (almost a year). It is also important for the evaluation of trends and performance. When combined with the 52-week high figure, it should give you an accurate assessment of the stock's annual performance.

Name/Symbol: column contains both the name of the company and its stock symbol. A stock ticker symbol is usually 3-letter symbol used to identify companies in the stock market. You need to know the stock symbol of a company you invest in, so you can track their performance over time and also when you use the internet to find stock quotes. Companies often pick memorable ticker symbols, such as Genentech, biotechnology companies, the stock ticker symbol DNA.

Distribution: the amount paid on an annual basis by a company that profits to its shareholders.

Volume: the number of shares traded today for a particular stock.

Capacity: the yield is calculated as a percentage of dividends paid divided by the share price. the yield of a given stock can change daily, depending on its share price for that day.

P ratio: this ratio is simply the price of a stock divided by its earnings per share. In General, a lower p/e ratio is desirable because it would mean that the company is an affordable investment for the current price.

Last day: this would be the current share price, or whenever the stock last traded on a working day.

Net change: net change measures share price differences between its current price and the price the day before, and then reports the change in percentage.

How to read stock market Ticker Tape

The stock market ticker tape runs on TV channels, as well as outside financial buildings, and the Internet. It is usually a quick look at how different stocks perform on the current day. It is used to denote stocks of their mark, which can be anywhere from one to four letters. Some companies shorten their business, so Google's symbol is GOOG, while other companies use their full names, such as NIKE.

Ticker shows usually also a green arrow, indicating the increase in the share price, or a red arrow shows a decrease in share price followed by a single percentage specifies the amount of change in the share price for today's trading.

Both layers, tables, and stock tickers are useful for an investor to monitor and track stock performance. Knowing how to read on the stock market is crucial for any investors because stock investing is about to make, and then monitor your investment so that you can adjust your stock portfolio optimal market conditions.








Kelly Clifford from StockMarketsMadeSimple.com has put together a free report called "stock market basics: A Beginners Guide to understanding the stock market" which is likely to be invaluable in putting you on the fast track to becoming a knowledgable and successful stock market investor. To download your copy right now ... click here


Money on the table

Foreign sale was Php 1.1 billion today.  Our market will continue to be buffeted by the money, but why am I not surprised.  It seems that foreign funds are taken all their already and other markets.  Especially, since the dollar has around the oil last stretch marks growth in the United States, global portfolios will be re-balancing for the benefit of us and our market will remain primarily to investors in the coming weeks until perhaps local published figures 4Q2010 macro economic.  Also, we will have a better picture of revenue the company before purchasing obligation is revealed again.


In the meantime, I think it would be task M & A to provide opportunities to profit.  This means that the Peek CYBR, related to the RSA/SMC stock and of the fact that LR although there are no elements for these stocks.  So always do the task M A.  You have depend on your creative thinking.  A safer alternative is the number of suggestions on mining, because I believe that the u.s. recovery will surely goods, especially metals and pressure.  I think that is a safe bet NIKL ore will continue to invite the excitement and skepticism.


One stock that appears positive, although the market comes, he KEEP.  I noticed that even falling, it already has its own holder.  I don't remember if I ever, but KEEP a stock sits well with social responsibility, global portfolios oriented environment.  Also I learned from my friend Dr. Barney Villegas of University of Asia & the Pacific KEEP is talking with partners the establishment of a branch of the geothermal facilities and build them in the next few years.  I think that a stock that one KEEP it can take 2 to 3 year display and good.  However, I continue to think that the MPI and DMC distribution holding free long-term because of the growth of the capacities they handle very well the power and utilities.


At this point in the game, it would be good to take a strong cash management access.  Tend to compare game market with playing poker.  While Poker is a game with odds – just like gambling on stock-the who comes up is the money better.  Why?, because he (or she) knows when to make more money or when you fold, and keep the money.  At the end of the day, he who money on the table that comes up.

12 January 2011-posted by Gus Cosio | Financial markets are in Asia be first like this post.

View the original article here

Saturday, February 5, 2011

Early in 2011

After a train ride in the mountains of the first two weeks, this will be the 2011 good to sit back, frame, the rest of the year market outlook.  The problem, however, with the perspective look very is that it does not become useful our daily trading activity.  I'll try to share my long term view and describe how I think and share in General will work out of his way in the coming weeks.  Similar forecasts and outlook are as navigation tools and a map but.  When you receive different points, things look different.  The map tells you where you're going, but it is up to make adjustments along the way.


Fundamentally, things are going for the market are:


1) long that economic growth underpinned by:

Restore the sectors of industry and export growth in the BPO sector job, and services, andgrowth bacerchn spend a large part fueled by OFW remittances.

2 low interest) which will be stable in early 2011.


3) a high level of confidence the business expectation of infrastructure programs carried out by the Government.


4) the business cycle has bottomed out that before 12 months.


I think that all of these contribute to revenue growth between companies and certain ones PSE moderate.  Moreover, some companies you can program more strongly by the business environment, especially if you're a real investment. A case is the infrastructure that you can attract a large slice of foreign direct investment as well as migrating from local conglomerates.


Now, this is a long view.  Near-term portfolio flows through very affected by outside stock selection fund managers that can be performed.  Here are some where.


I suspect that these will be in the coming weeks buy is MPI, AP, AEV, DMC, KEEP an SCC CLUSTER.  These healthy stock saw Union become agitated people to it.  I have a feeling that many of the spaces that can be much easier to their portfolios received in these.  In my opinion to see the banking stocks with a critical perspective, considering that the lending spreads may be at risk just by low interest rates.  Imagine banks with a vibrant and varied business blend well or those who have a good record of profitability that these leads in several weeks.  I would say that is selections from entry, SECB and UBP.  For the property, I suppose that the VLL LND due to work, but to the recent announcement on the establishment of AGI into Boracay property opens up a whole new ball game for LND as they use an existing property, leisure games odds.


Mines, my suggestions are still in NIKL and ORE.  Ore a bit speculative game, but my sources tell me at least 86 tons has been stockpiled and ready for delivery.  If you try all with Ofra, only to forget this company can still create a track record.  This is a big risk.


I seem exciting to the list of essential voice that I stock I choose to go every year.  In the meantime, you can feel it in January the impact is now us.  Made a lot of re-balancing by foreign portfolios.  If it is going to be any accumulation should be done before to 4Q 2010 earnings results disclosures, you will in the coming days.  It is better to be a rather long have something in your portfolios.

January 2011-posted by Gus Cosio | Financial markets are in Asia be first like this post.

View the original article here

How does the stock market?


Understanding the stock market can be quite daunting for beginners. But to understand how it works you must try and understand the mechanics behind the market. So how does the market?

A stock market operates on the basic principles of supply and demand. The main actors are buyers and sellers that determine prices through their trading behavior and the brokers who facilitates the inventory and distribution. Understand how the stock market works, the first step is to understand how to invest in the market for financial gain.

What are layers?

A stock, also known as terms share and equity, represent ownership in a company. When companies want to expand their activities and require capital to do so, they often turn to set up parts of the company for sale to the general public and ask them to buy a "share" of the company. Thus, all holders of shares in a company, all shareholders, is a partner and get a share of the company's earnings in the form of dividends. The stock is therefore a good investment for shareholders and a financing for the company.

How do the work that the stock market an auction house?

The market serves as an auction house, because the shares sold to the highest bidder. Buyers bid for shares and seller sells shares around the current stock price. The stock is sold to the highest bidder. The price of shares is determined by fluctuations between supply and demand. A company that is doing well financially will generally see a greater demand for the shares of the company than a company in financial difficulties. The same can be said about the economy: a declining economy will see lower demand while a sound prosperous economy will see a high demand for investment.

Stock trading basics

Shares are traded on the stock market (also known as a stock exchange). This is the place where the brokers to facilitate orders from buyers and sellers.

Stocks traded today also electronically, so that the movements of the stock, while I can't physically, can still be tracked digitally. Many people, it's easier to invest in and monitor their stock portfolio via the internet because it is updated in real time.

It is important to note that even if a company release its first stock directly to the public via an IPO (initial public offer), the share is traded on the stock exchange has no direct involvement by the company and is only a transaction between the buyer and seller.

What are stock quotes?

If you open the newspaper to the financial pages or check out one of the many online financial sites, is the chance that one of the first things you see are a table with many alpha-numeric values in columns and rows. This is a stock table. The inventory provides the following information: name of company, 3 letter ticker symbol for the company, the highest and lowest prices on that layer in the past week (or other time period), dividends paid, the stock yield is calculated as a percentage of dividend per year divided by dividend per share, the closing share price and the net change in the dollar price of share (either positive or negative-positive labeled with a green arrow and a negative with a down red arrow)

How does the stock market, Stock prices?

Prices are representative of supply and demand. High inventory demand combined with low prices while supply is driving a low demand in combination with high delivery makes prices go down.

Perhaps the most important question is how to determine if the price of a stock will go up or down. Understand how stock market works helps you decide the stock price developments and places you in a better position to make your fortune on the stock market.








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Friday, February 4, 2011

Three-factor model of stock exchange: The Fama-French three factor model


Proponents of market efficiency in risk sharing scheme and systematically. Poaching risk costs will not invest in the stock market. Here is an example that will help you to understand the structure of the risk. If you are considering investing in the stock market, you can either buy specific stocks in a particular company that you think will be an increase in price in the future. On the other hand, if you don't trust your stock capacity, you have options to buy a basket of stocks that mimics equity markets combined Total development. One way would be to buy an indexed equity fund VFINX linked to the s & P 500 which is a very large stock market index. Which stocks are moving relative to the General market risk of the stock is messy.

Systematic risk is the degree to which the stock price changes compared to the General stock market as measured by an index that the s & P 500. The model requires this action a layer "beta." Fama-French model as three factor is a regression analysis that attempts to separate out the systematic risk of a stock from poaching risk by compensating for three factors. The first factor is the financial relationship is called a book on the market. The second factor is the size of the company as measured by its market capitalization. The third factor is the return on the market portfolio.

Book market ratio is nothing more than what the Auditors assess adherence to the company by market capitalisation of the company. The company's market capitalization is the share stock times the total number of shares in the company is outstanding in the stock market. The return on the market portfolio is measured by some index that the s & P 500.

According to reflect the effective market school (which I disagree), size and book to market systematic risk, meaning risk requiring compensation in the form of higher expected return. Target researchers should see that investors perceive small-value layer to be riskier than a large growth stocks. They see this as supporting certain market efficiency. But investors expect consistent high stocks outperform small-growth stocks and it is perverse. Basically, investors realize that future small enterprises are riskier, but expect to be compensated for this risk as efficient market model says that they should.

In a similar manner tend to analysts recommend growth stocks more favourably than they value stocks. In effective market model to capital asset model (CAPM) is part of the profits from stocks should invest to investors as the risk that they perceive that they are taking instead of the exact opposite that we find to be objective when actual research conducted on the matter.

This result caused the death of the CAPM beta which was market research through efficient market theorists in spite of the fact that the model that resulted in the award of the Nobel Prize in economics for William Sharpe of Stanford University. Hirsh Shefrin has proposed that a behavioral profiles beta introduces in the model that can help explain these results contradict the efficiency of the market.








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Stock market Fortune-learn how to make a fortune in the stock market


Learn how to make a fortune in the stock market is something that anyone can do, as long as you have the right Foundation. Here are the seven fortune equity market rules that are the core principles of a very profitable trading system is called the phase of trade.

stock market Fortune fact: 75-80% of all stocks move in the overall direction of the market.

Why do not you with most stocks after the overall market direction, let the market make money? The easiest way to make a fortune in the stock market would then be the only beings with the long-term direction of the stock market. Don't try to beat the market, but let the market help you earn you money.

stock market Fortune rule # 1-enables faster and greater profits by investing in the market in both bull and bear markets. If you are not using bear markets to make additional profits are leaving money on the table.

stock market Fortune rule # 2-to fully exploit the power of the fertilizer to improve your profits exponentially. You will not see the benefit of a single trade, but add more profitable business and you will begin to see power. Even Albert Einstein called the principle of collective interest "eighth wonder of the world".

stock market Fortune rule # 3-invests only in inventory that have the greatest potential for large profits. Adhere to our high volume stocks that move in phases for the safest and greatest profits.

stock market Fortune rule # 4-eliminate emotional buying and selling of stocks. This leads to buy and sell too early or too late, which is the biggest reason why people lose big in the stock market.

stock market Fortune rule # 5-don't diversify your portfolio. This is one of the biggest mistakes that people make without realizing the harm it causes. Your portfolio diversity should be based on the risk vs. reward not only a pure number of layers as you want. Would you like to trade only with the best super high performing stocks for every $ 1.00 lost you would win $ 4.00?

stock market Fortune rule # 6-Let your winners run. This is the golden rule for successful investments. You may not believe it, but it is the most difficult emotionally to follow. It is very easy to see a stock moving up nicely. On the other side of the coin, how bad it feels when a stock is taking a short-term stumble. Not fully knowing it will come back or not. This is when it becomes very difficult to keep your faith in a layer. If you are selling can now you are missing an even bigger running right around the corner.

stock market Fortune rule # 7-sell your losers and dwell not upon them, as long as you follow your system and not let your emotions take over. Remember that no system is 100% right all the time. Keep the focus on the long-term success of a system rather than individual professions.

If you follow just these seven stock market rules, you can successfully eliminate the majority of the most common mistake that traders. With this information, you should be on their way to make a fortune on the stock exchange.








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Happy Days?

In fact, all of us who were in this market in recent months, there is one thing in common.  We are a lot of our portfolios.  Many are pain and some terrible pain.  Today, when I looked at portfolio after closing of the market, I have only one stock that is making money.  Location of NIKL is luck.  I'm glad this stock and I look forward to taking it all even my long run society seems to work its way in the stock price.  Spot prices for nickel-context for a while, but it is still above the 25,000 US dollars per ton metric.  Copper prices also remained with them, and it looks like the Group industrial metals will be satisfied as the Alliance shows signs of recovery in production.


China's annual GDP growth in 2010 posted of 10.3%, somewhat more consensus 10.2% forecast.  It is strongly recommended that you visit the Web looking for a smaller view that reducing financial sources have since the middle of the year.  In some areas also be raising the minimum wage months to come.  Growth is generally faster than would be good for China's market is cooling efforts to counter intuitive thinking economy heating does not happen.  China may reduce more to come.


In any case, the Philippines has very little reason to tighten monetary policy.  There were very few credit expansion.  All money not because of the numbers increase to increase income is actually non-inflationary.  By month by ?????? aggressive up excess liquidity of the Bank through the SDAs, I don't see how monetary tightening will compress all inflationary pressures since the prices of rice and agricultural goods beyond the financial tools.  Mathematically, a price slightly increases, the economy will expand money credit because of all the non-growing revenue just is used to pay prices of transport and food.


What's that got to do with the stock prices then?


Well, like to invest in the markets become less when interest rates rose.  Investors tend to back until they see the scope of the interest rate.  This is probably why a stock property already has a hit over the last three major trading days.  Investors higher funding costs and pricing for developers, the user that tend to slow down the unit sales and development.


The question is, how to slow down can happen?  Well, I'm not sure that.  Mortgage rates in this country are not at all.  Very few are able to log on to a single digit interest rates for housing.  In fact, interest rates, not have to buy a House on demand.  Most of the buyers were end users, landlords who see yield positive renting affordable units.  My tendency is to think of fears in China's housing bubble is transferred here.  In spite of all these construction, I do not think the Philippines is housing bubble.  Perhaps, the high quality sector of the market may simply be property is approaching saturation point.  After all, how much you really can afford to live in the Fort McKinley or new Manila Ortigas Alabang or or.  But hey, when you talk about at the metropolitan, apartment prices not demanding it.


In either case, you are running scared many people that are long and wrong.  This is the end of the rally began in 2009?  Do you need just a blip, now has all dissipated?


I am still optimist.  This economic growth solid when displayed figures are released on the 31st of this month.  I think as you grow is revenue growth.  I think stock are approaching closer realistic budget levels.  Think of Tel.  There are now very few sellers for this stock.  Think of the mining sector; Metal prices are surely the profitability.  Think of banks; They raise the question, are the only rates must extend their intervals.


I don't want to raise false hopes.  If you crop losses at this point, all the means to do so.  Just remember that when this bottom, happy days is here again.  Right now I'm out of Tacloban give teachers talk.

20 January 2011-posted by Gus Cosio | To be the first such post.

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Thursday, February 3, 2011

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Stock market Timing


Most individuals are losing money, over time, buy and sell shares. A fundamental mistake most people make is the idea that the stock market is constantly increasing. Technically, but there are time limits for most people in the simple fact that none of us live indefinitely and depending on when the stock market goes through one of their patches can negatively affect our portfolio.If you are under 50 years (as examples) and the market goes through a difficult patch, more than likely you still have enough time for your portfolio to recover until retirement, provided that it never goes through another correction during your lifetime. How do you do if you are in your sixties, and the market corrects itself? Chances are you will never make up for the losses incurred.

A second mistake most people make when they buy stocks is that they never have an exit strategy. Probably more important than to buy a stock is knowing when to sell a stock. I learned long ago to never fall in love with a couple layers since it will eventually break your heart.You might have done your customer due diligence in researching a stock, but there are forces which can limit the ability of a particular stocks that move in a positive direction. Some but not all inventory is manipulated by Wall street. Many times a stock is over hyped by analysts and brokerage houses in an attempt to get people to buy stock and drive up the price. When inventory reaches a certain price, then Wall street insiders sell their shares and the rest of us are left with a stock starts to sink. The problem for most people is that they generally have a share after its done the great climbing only to then see price drop. There are old buy low-sell high mentality. a safe strategy to lose money on the stock exchange.I have read in more than one source that 70% of the stocks step in the direction that the overall market is, so if you have a stock with strong fundamentals and the market is falling, guess what? Your large stock decreases probably also. In addition, 20 percent of the movement of a stock is based on whichever sector it is (for example: transport, healthcare, Banking, etc.), so if your sector does your inventory, as well as not-well then probably.Finally, 10% of a stock movement is based on the true fundamentals of a stock, but these ground rules may be skewed by the administration of a particular company, as well as the brokerage houses, and analysts.Back in the mid-1990s were all stock picking genius.

It seemed all the layers that you purchased did nothing but go up. 2000-2002 which then the reality of most people who were in the stock market without an exit strategy, suffered severe losses. When many people swore never to play the stock market again. What happened in 2003? The market has risen again, but of course with a bitter aftertaste for stocks which are not received or received after the big run, eventually to either make very little money or no money at all. Buy low-sell-high strategy came once again comes into play.So, what to do? You can buy funds where "supposedly" money is professionally managed to avoid these corrections.

The problem here is twofold. One, these funds have leading charges that removes from your profits and two, perhaps more importantly, during the downturn from 2000 to 2002, equity funds generally also performed poorly.The problem we all face is that we are looking for a place to invest our money and after considering all the options seem to stock exchange offers better opportunities than other investment vehicles. If you are going to invest in the stock market, as I said earlier, you must have a strategy to protect your assets.An alternative timing the market.

You will read all that you do not have the time on the stock market. Truthfully, no one can predict how the market will go on any given day. However, there are different ways to see the trends on the market, either up or down (and sometimes sideways). When you are able to identify these trends can you have your money in the market when it comes along and have your money sitting safely on the sidelines when the market goes.Over the last ten years, I have looked at a number of stock market timing system. None of them will take you into the market in the exact bottom nor will they get to the top, but they get you in and out somewhere between so that you can walk away with a profit and most of them have you out of the market when it fix itself.

Active trading as this gives the average investor a huge advantage over the person who buys a stock then "hope for the best".My suggestion is to do an internet search for "stock market timing" and take a look at the various programs out there. Look at his track record, consider how many times have you switch in and out of the market (you don't want to jump in and out every few days) and the cost of the service.Find one that fits your investing and try out. You find that you will be able to sleep much better at night.








Serious stock market enthusiast only offers "one mans opinion."


Stock market investment and trading tools, stock market-what is Metadata?


What is Stock Metadata?

Simply said, metadata is data about data. And when understood and interpreted properly, the stock market, also referred to as metadata only layer metadata, can help you picture what happens to a company's share capital. So if there is a trend to develop trade, would be one of the tools you can use to a trend that the stock market move metadata.

Work with layer Metadata?

When you work online, you'll find great varieties of stock charts, current and historical stock market performance and an increasing number of online news sources. But to find everything on layer metadata challenging.

To get more of a sense of how this kind of information can be used, consider one of the following scenarios:
You plan to buy shares in a company and want to have an idea for which a 15-minute period of intra day trade in their parts statistically the lowest points
You want to sell your stocks and you want to have an opinion about the best time of day to run your trading
If you want to find out iterations of different price differences of range for a stock which will help you time your trades and get a price that is advantageous for you
You want to buy or sell a large block of shares and if you want to see a breakdown of the different times of day when the amount of shares traded for certain stocks are both at its highest and lowest

Answers to these and many other questions can be found by going online and searching for it. I use Google and look for terms in the stock market or store metadata metadata returns links to all relevant information. Layer metadata reports are unique. For example, you can easily see the relationships that exist between the open and close values for stock quotes for the day. You can also see what the values are the other days, day after day.

These reports can cover a specific date ranges for company functions. And with access to multiple arrays of values for different group of categories within each of the arrays, there is more than a sufficient amount of data is to complete a thorough analysis. It is easy to see when you look at a report.

Used as a tool for analysis, warehouse metadata can also be used to show market trade activity for equities covering a 15-minute time blocks. Statistically speaking, you can quickly see.
Periods when the highest and lowest prices reached
Time periods when high and low trading volumes have reached

It also gives clear answers to questions that cut across time (days, months, years):
How many times during each of the 15-minute periods during normal trading hours, shares traded at a high for the day?
How low of the day?
What times of day are recorded the highest volume crafts?
How the lowest volume crafts?

Why is this kind of information important? Statistically identifies the potential best time of day to buy or sell shares. When you learn how to use Exchange metadata, you will realise that:
History seems to repeat itself.
Numbers don't lie, and
The trend is your friend.

The public has previously not been able to easily find a viable source of stock market stocks metadata and metadata. Now to change. When you request a search on any of these special conditions, be sure to find the information that is presented from Source sites or through links to articles written about this topic.

Search for websites that also presents the features of the company traded on the major North American exchanges. This includes a large number of links to important sources of information, by default, the stock market as well as a selection of stock market metadata reports.

When you choose to review a featured company, check for are links include some of the best available online sites of key stock market information. They also store metadata reports for each company that feature it from them?

Look for reports that are published every day of the week, Monday to Friday. Standard report headings below, typically also the corresponding links to the site pages that explain and describe the contents of each of the reports.

Daily historical Metadata detail daily historical Metadata summary 15 minute Metadata detail
a 15-minute summary Metadata
15 minutes of Hi-Low counts
Works with the help of stock Metadata?

Stock charts provide graphic images of the company's stock performance. There are several patterns to learn. These must be understood and interpreted correctly. This can get quite complicated. And when used correctly, can be very effective for trade and investment purposes.

The advantage of warehouse metadata is to use something that you have used all of your life: numbers. If you know how to do simple addition and subtraction, and you know how to count, you can use and understand the metadata.

Some of them boast even by using metadata to predict stock price performance. Check out the following link to Yahoo! message board for Morgan Stanley stock.

It was after lunch on Friday 9 October 2009, to Yahoo! message board when it comes to the closing price on the day of Morgan Stanley shares. It was developed with the specific criteria on daily historical Metadata detailed report for MS shares from stock metadata reports available online for people to use. When you read the mail, you'll see that if the bulls ran at the end of the day, the stock was the prediction would close at 18: 32. Well actually ended the day at MS 32.09 but a few seconds later after closing, the first entry in after-hours trade was, are you ready for this, 32, 18. Talk about making a good prognosis. I'll let you be the judge.








Stan Pokutylowicz
http://www.Stock-Market-keywords.com/

Stock-market-keyword was set up in order to present some common keywords and keyword terms using the corresponding links are used by people online to learn more about the stock market. The topic of stock market Metadata (also known as Stock Metadata) was added shortly after the first major construction phase of the Web site had been completed.


Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Liquidity or risk

Wednesday was another one of those days when we were a very powerful moves, but the rest of the market went a different way.   It seems that the rest of the region was more narrow beam atomic credit in China.  One, I believe that keeping that going-continent will continue for most of the year.  The Chinese authorities are very head strong and have a record of all the policy continues.  In this particular case, they are looking for deflate bubble that mtrkmt the market the property.  The result of economic policy such as these is that it tends to move the money to other places, whether it's the economy, family, or elsewhere.  If China is suppressing invest money flow into the Interior of real estate, clicking any flow on other assets that may be in China itself.


In the same token, the Filipino is money growth suppression BSP by sucking it SDA.  I heard a little information about the behavior of operations in the market for BSP and yesterday, they began to refuse to accept a number of locations from the interbank overnight.  I'm not sure what's going on in this market, but he smacks the excess liquidity in the markets more symbols money ?????? were made to evaluate the decline interest rates in the future.


If any weakness in the equity, probably will be temporary.  While the January effect is a three days late, I am convinced that the January 2011 will be a very good month.   I-level operational at the beginning of the year of the index in the 4200.  This means that measure all spaces in this level.  Without a doubt, there will be times when we threaten to volatile forward to go below this level.  We need to evaluate the conditions prevalent when we get there, but where do things stand today, I think that a risk worth taking.


One such risk is DGTL, stock, that I'd been accumulating since August 2010.  This means my average cost is now below when is retail price.  What is the risk of disadvantage?  I suspect is the low September 2010 1.37.  What is the limited upside?  I think it just under the 1.70 highs of last year.  This is around 15% of the space, if it is entered.  What will it be if they are removed in Php hmtmhim of around 1 billion.  My personal estimate is 1.040 Php billion that moves a stock in 0.163 spaces by for the stock.  Tel now trading on the PE X TTM 12 around.  Of course there should be a DGTL lower, but on 11 X PE, the price should be 1.79.  Surprise would be if DGTL now brings a hmtmhim bmshchorot over Php 1.1 billion.  Something like this will add much momentum into the stock, it should take 2 or more.  Of course, this is speculation that this is the reason before buying or adding of position, you need to ask yourself if it is a risk worth taking.


Who put out the same with NIKL, appears to be paying off.  NIKL is one of my strong suggestions in 2011.  I believe that it will be sometime around 22 this year.  By osmosis, its co-Palawanon, ore, benefit valuation of NIKL.  Materials are fashion as themes of general funds portfolio.  I think a stock standard exporters or producers mining that targets of these portfolios.  Local traders and investors should keep an eye on PX, which, LC, LCB, what that and register all my begins to produce.  Mining is more dangerous than a property or banks, but then again, it's taking some risks.

6 January 2011-posted by Gus Cosio | Financial markets are in Asia be first like this post.

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Enjoying a roller coaster ride

For most of 2010, only one was the Philippine market trend to identify which was up. When stock prices were strong as they were, people you are calm into believing the risk to invest in securities.  Then, people tend to appreciate also their ability to cope with this risk.  Reality begins to set it only when you start to lose money.  The first two weeks of the year (in fact even in November until late 2011), we had a very volatile markets.  Many retail investor that hit in 12-18 months only, you may never have experienced this type of mountain railways.  It is only now realizing what are real risks to invest in securities.


In my opinion, now is the time to assess the individual risk threshold.  Do you have too many stock? Are over-Queuing part speculative?  Your stocks are in the power sector and all of them?  They are tending to lots of dog bag?  Are you a long time because the market ran? Do you have jobs simply because someone has given you advice? Never prevent cash or invested you are always full value?  If you feel very comfortable now, you know that you need to raise money.  I am one to feel that our market, is not very deep, you should always have a 20 percent cash.


I think people are worried that it's time for a decline in the market for a long time.  I will not try to argue this point because I have only one thousand.  This is exactly I often choose to look at the basics without ignoring market dynamics.  Right now, he says that many foreign funds and investors want to quit.  I believe most of wisdom in this view.  It's time to Bank the number of spaces in.  Foreign Fund has also a variety of reasons to cash in-stock windfall gains currency, or assign some rzon just released this among others.


What does it matter now is this market rebound because it happens that you need to hold the stock that should receive the most.  I don't have a crystal ball to tell me when this will go back into position in the market.  Soon, I hold the view of the stock are typically trading range.  One, I think that DMC still range between 33 to 37.  Could be wrong but I will get this view and play the range since I love DMC over the long haul.  He added that I thought to buy ????????? AP at 29.84.  It seems to me, AP should range from 26 to 32, but be careful if you break it 26.  MBT will likely range between 61 and 67 in MPI trade between 3.50 ???'??????.  Trading range is a strategy that make the haomdn your best when you receive a position with disciplined decision to play the range.  This also means that if the support and resistance broken, mast you take the appropriate action: cut if you break it support or buy if it breaks the resistance.


I see more volatility within the range of 3950 4250 PSEi.  While this represents a difficult times ahead, it's also a tremendous opportunity for outperforming the index.  I think the technical trading market in the coming weeks to characterize the.  My guess is that we will see a price breakdown.  I visit a country not bad at all. Furthermore, I believe cycles, you can still do not feel that we saw the pinnacle of this started before 18 months.  Like all out pulley, there are ups and downs; But at the end of the trip, you always feel exhilarated.  Yes?

19 January 2011-posted by Gus Cosio | Financial markets are in Asia be first like this post.

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The sleepy town thinking

As I read Asian economic outlook of one of the major international investment banks in a plane.  What I wanted to find out between the lines is the crisis mtrkmt somewhere in the world.  An event to the emerging Asian markets have seen the trend last year, it must be the same size as the flu from Asia in 1997 or sub-prime mortgage of the u.s. banking crisis, 2007-2008.  Euro zone sovereign debt crisis will not be as harmful as you can muster enough resources within euroland countries among themselves.  Only negative is put drag economic growth overall.


Here in Asia, sovereign debt as a percentage of GDP is relatively low, there is a small percentage of Government.  For example, the Philippines has a foreign debt of approximately a quarter of its GDP; considers that of low single digit.  ASEAN 5 has a similar debt ratio which is really off-shoot of the Asian financial crisis in 1998.  China tries to growth, but some strong economy of growth seems to perpetuate itself.


In any case, potential problems such as crises of two decades with the dot-com bubble at the turn of the century they place still on the horizon.  Yes, but not to the inflationary pressure was in 1982 when interest rates were sky high lgilaim high vaashrim low. (Yes, I was already trading then but the FX markets.)  A really great question us locally is the major economic bottleneck, we see that are difficult to overcome.


I save the scan the landscape because I don't want to be blindsided by the majority of people were in 2007.  Sub-prime and banking crises was Bell the ugly head of it, but many chose to ignore the early signs.  As a result, the master bath.  I don't think China is going to bring ??????? credit crisis.  If any, must squeeze credit collapse it.  Us from the beginning to pick up steam, the manufacturing sector has undo decades of a down trend.  At the top of all this, they are very far away and so far there are no potential bottlenecks.  Housing may take some time to recover in the United States, but I think it is also that there is already one or two bytes.  Why buy more?


Nevertheless, I think that the last few days of this Union.  No I each person must be a hero.  I actually encourage people to sell the rallies, postures have to get back some cash.  We had to be trapped in this range for several more months.  It can be a wide range of evolving trading.  It may be counter intuitive thinking time.

20 January 2011-posted by Gus Cosio | Financial markets are in Asia be first like this post.

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Tuesday, February 1, 2011

Risk in the Stock market risk management-aktiemarknaden


Risk in the stock market is everywhere. Invest in the stock market is filled with anxiety, with good reason. If you lose half of your investment, you must double your return to just breakeven. Warren Buffett, regarded by many as the world's largest investors, claiming their first rule of investing is "don't lose money." Unfortunately, the risk in the stock market to lose your money is always a possibility. Without taking some risk, however, no reward. Why hire successful stock market investor risk management strategies to minimize their losses. Managing risk in the stock market begins with what type of risk and take steps to mitigate the effects of risk in your investment portfolio.

Risk in the stock market comes in many forms and everyone can lead to a loss. The most common is the overall development of the market. Approximately 60% of the transfer of a single layer can be attributed to the development of the stock market. If the stock market rises, taking most of the other stocks, but not in the same size. When the stock market fall, sink stocks with it.

Another big risk in the stock market is owns a individual layers. While taking stock of a company can offer larger rewards, there is also the risk that something goes wrong that can halve the price of its shares. It may be news that sales have suddenly fallen because of a new competitor, or a product liability problem has occurred. For whatever the reason that individual stocks are subject to the risks to them only.

While there are other risks in the stock exchange, include the majority of those that you will encounter. Fortunately, investors can employ multiple strategies as part of their stock market risk management program.

First, they invest in the development of the market. The trend is a proven method, but it is not so easy as it sounds. Trend following attempt to identify and then adjust with the underlying trend of the market. Adoption is the market will be in a trend that can last a day, a week, a month or a year or several years. In General, cycle of short-term trends in the longer term trends. Depending on your time frame, you can adjust your inventory position with trend when you have identified the following trends, you have the opportunity to reduce the likelihood of your inventory will fall when market trend rising.

Another proven risk management strategy for stock ownership is to diversify your portfolio from several different companies, sectors and asset classes. By owning a variety of stocks, you reduce the impact of a loss in a company. About the stocks you own from a variety of industry sectors you have additionally reducing the consequences of any one sector causes a forfeiture. Exchange traded funds (ETFs) offer a great way to add diversity to your portfolio in which they hold shares in companies that are based on an index. The index can be made for the entire market, or any segment of the market. When you use ETFs can be sure that there is sufficient liquidity (lots of equities trading) or you will create another unwanted risk.

Many investors, the size of their inventory position based on their tolerance for risk. Dr. Van k. Tharp conducted an experiment on position sizing handle in his book trade your way to financial freedom. As Dr. Tharp find, adjust the size of your inventory using a percentage risk or volatility increases significantly your return. By adjusting the size of your position on the basis of risk are you willing to guess that you sink your potential losses and increase your likelihood of solid gains.

Should the price of your inventory turn, it would be good if you can close your position before price fell further. Stop loss or trailing stop is a tool used by many investors to close its position, the price falls by a specified amount. Most brokerage firms allow the use of the ends with a certain number of points in price or a percentage lower than the price. Trailing stops follow the price up by an amount that you enter and hold that the price level on any turn down. The idea of equity market risk management technique is to provide sufficient space for the share price to fluctuate within its up trend, but be ready to sell, it falls below a predetermined level. Some investors Use mental stops, which works well as long as they have the self-discipline to sell their stop price is affected.

Many think equity options is riskier investments. It is true that options can be risky because they increase your use of the power. However, the use of professional investors some options to reduce the risk of their portfolios. Covered call options are a great way to create some down side protection while increasing the potential yield of your portfolio. Covered calls are suitable for IRA accounts, indicating that the authorities consider them a low-risk investment strategy. Protective put options is another method to reduce risk in a portfolio. Similar to insurance, protective puts ge security should your long positions all of a sudden fall in the price. When this happens, put option guarantees the agreed upon price shown for your stocks regardless of how far the fall.

Managing risk in the stock market is a matter of doing everything you can to avoid losing money. Fortunately there are several strategies for achieving this important goal. The most successful investors employ all stock market risk management strategies to realize how important it is to avoid making a mistake while investing in the stock market. Make your portfolio a favour and use available equity market risk management techniques to your advantage.









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Invest in the stock market

Foreword


Over the past few years the stock market has made substantial declines. Some short term investors have lost a good bit of money. Many new stock market investors look at this and become very skeptical about getting in now.


If you are considering investing in the stock market it is very important that you understand how the markets work. All of the financial and market data that the newcomer is bombarded with can leave them confused and overwhelmed.


The stock market is an everyday term used to describe a place where stock in companies is bought and sold. Companies issues stock to finance new equipment, buy other companies, expand their business, introduce new products and services, etc. The investors who buy this stock now own a share of the company. If the company does well the price of their stock increases. If the company does not do well the stock price decreases. If the price that you sell your stock for is more than you paid for it, you have made money.


When you buy stock in a company you share in the profits and losses of the company until you sell your stock or the company goes out of business. Studies have shown that long term stock ownership has been one of the best investment strategies for most people.


People buy stocks on a tip from a friend, a phone call from a broker, or a recommendation from a TV analyst. They buy during a strong market. When the market later begins to decline they panic and sell for a loss. This is the typical horror story we hear from people who have no investment strategy.


Before committing your hard earned money to the stock market it will behoove you to consider the risks and benefits of doing so. You must have an investment strategy. This strategy will define what and when to buy and when you will sell it.
History of the Stock Market


Over two hundred years ago private banks began to sell stock to raise money to expand. This was a new way to invest and a way for the rich to get richer. In 1792 twenty four large merchants agreed to form a market known as the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). They agreed to meet daily on Wall Street and buy and sell stocks.


By the mid-1800s the United States was experiencing rapid growth. Companies began to sell stock to raise money for the expansion necessary to meet the growing demand for their products and services. The people who bought this stock became part owners of the company and shared in the profits or loss of the company.


A new form of investing began to emerge when investors realized that they could sell their stock to others. This is where speculation began to influence an investor's decision to buy or sell and led the way to large fluctuations in stock prices.


Originally investing in the stock market was confined to the very wealthy. Now stock ownership has found it's way to all sectors of our society.
What is a Stock?


A stock certificate is a piece of paper declaring that you own a piece of the company. Companies sell stock to finance expansion, hire people, advertise, etc. In general, the sale of stock help companies grow. The people who buy the stock share in the profits or losses of the company.


Trading of stock is generally driven by short term speculation about the company operations, products, services, etc. It is this speculation that influences an investor's decision to buy or sell and what prices are attractive.


The company raises money through the primary market. This is the Initial Public Offering (IPO). Thereafter the stock is traded in the secondary market (what we call the stock market) when individual investors or traders buy and sell the shares to each other. The company is not involved in any profit or loss from this secondary market.


Technology and the Internet have made the stock market available to the mainstream public. Computers have made investing in the stock market very easy. Market and company news is available almost anywhere in the world. The Internet has brought a vast new group of investors into the stock market and this group continues to grow each year.
Bull Market - Bear Market


Anyone who has been following the stock market or watching TV news is probably familiar with the terms Bull Market and Bear Market. What do they mean?


A bull market is defined by steadily rising prices. The economy is thriving and companies are generally making a profit. Most investors feel that this trend will continue for some time. By contrast a bear market is one where prices are dropping. The economy is probably in a decline and many companies are experiencing difficulties. Now the investors are pessimistic about the future profitability of the stock market. Since investors' attitudes tend to drive their willingness to buy or sell these trends normally perpetuate themselves until significant outside events intervene to cause a reversal of opinion.


In a bull market the investor hopes to buy early and hold the stock until it has reached it's high. Obviously predicting the low and high is impossible. Since most investors are "bullish" they make more money in the rising bull market. They are willing to invest more money as the stock is rising and realize more profit.


Investing in a bear market incurs the greatest possibility of losses because the trend in downward and there is no end in sight. An investment strategy in this case might be short selling. Short selling is selling a stock that you don't own. You can make arrangements with your broker to do this. You will in effect be borrowing shares from your broker to sell in the hope of buying them back later when the price has dropped. You will profit from the difference in the two prices. Another strategy for a bear market would be buying defensive stocks. These are stocks like utility companies that are not affected by the market downturn or companies that sell their products during all economic conditions.
Brokers


Traditionally investors bought and sold stock through large brokerage houses. They made a phone call to their broker who relayed their order to the exchange floor. These brokers also offered their services as stock advisors to people who knew very little about the market. These people relied on their broker to guide them and paid a hefty price in commissions and fees as a result. The advent of the Internet has led to a new class of brokerage houses. These firms provide on-line accounts where you may log in and buy and sell stocks from anywhere you can get an Internet connection. They usually don't offer any market advice and only provide order execution. The Internet investor can find some good deals as the members of this new breed of electronic brokerage houses compete for your business!
Blue Chip Stocks


Large well established firms who have demonstrated good profitability and growth, dividend payout, and quality products and services are called blue chip stocks. They are usually the leaders of their industry, have been around for a long time, and are considered to be among the safest investments. Blue chip stocks are included in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, an index composed of thirty companies who are leaders in their industry groups. They are very popular among individual and institutional investors. Blue chip stocks attract investors who are interested in consistent dividends and growth as well as stability. They are rarely subject to the price volatility of other stocks and their share prices will normally be higher than other categories of stock. The downside of blue chips is that due to their stability they won't appreciate as rapidly as compared to smaller up-and-coming stocks.
Penny Stocks


Penny Stocks are very low priced stocks and are very risky. They are usually issued by companies without a long term record of stability or profitability.


The appeal of penny stock is their low price. Though the odds are against it, if the company can get into a growth trend the share price can jump very rapidly. They are usually favored by the speculative investor.
Income Stocks


Income Stocks are stock that normally pay higher than average dividends. They are well established companies like utilities or telephone companies. Income stocks are popular with the investor who wants to own the stock for a long time and collect the dividends and who is not so interested in a gain in share price.
Value Stocks


Sometimes a company's earnings and growth potential indicate that it's share price should be higher than it is currently trading at. These stock are said to be Value Stocks. For the most part, the market and investors have ignored them. The investor who buys a value stock hopes that the market will soon realize what a bargain it is and begin to buy. This would drive up the share price.
Defensive Stocks


Defensive Stocks are issued by companies in industries that have demonstrated good performance in bad markets. Food and utility companies are defensive stocks.
Market Timing


One of the most well known market quotes is: "Buy Low - Sell High". To be consistently successful in the stock market one needs strategy, discipline, knowledge, and tools. We need to understand our strategy and stick with it. This will prevent us from being distracted by emotion, panic, or greed.


One of the most prominent investing strategies used by "investment pros" is Market Timing. This is the attempt to predict future prices from past market performance. Forecasting stock prices has been a problem for as long as people have been trading stocks. The time to buy or sell a stock is based on a number of economic indicators derived from company analysis, stock charts, and various complex mathematical and computer based algorithms.


One example of market timing signals are those available from http://www.stock4today.com.
Risks


There are numerous risks involved in investing in the stock market. Knowing that these risks exist should be one of the things an investor is constantly aware of. The money you invest in the stock market is not guaranteed. For instance, you might buy a stock expecting a certain dividend or rate of share price increase. If the company experiences financial problems it may not live up to your dividend or price growth expectations. If the company goes out of business you will probably lose everything you invested in it. Due to the uncertainty of the outcome, you bear a certain amount of risk when you purchase a stock.


Stocks differ in the amount of risks they present. For instance, Internet stocks have demonstrated themselves to be much more risky than utility stocks.


One risk is the stocks reaction to news items about the company. Depending on how the investors interpret the new item, they may be influenced to buy or sell the stock. If enough of these investors begin to buy or sell at the same time it will cause the price to rise or fall.


One effective strategy to cope with risk is diversification. This means spreading out your investments over several stocks in different market sectors. Remember the saying: "Don't put all your eggs in the same basket".


As investors we need to find our "Risk Tolerance". Risk tolerance is our emotional and financial ability to ride out a decline in the market without panicking and selling at a loss. When we define that point we make sure not to extend our investments beyond it.
Benefits


The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It's true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!


The Internet has make investing in the stock market a possibility for almost everybody. The wealth of online information, articles, and stock quotes gives the average person the same abilities that were once available to only stock brokers. No longer does the investor need to contact a broker for this information or to place orders to buy or sell. We now have almost instant access to our accounts and the ability to place on-line orders in seconds. This new freedom has ushered in new masses of hopeful investors. Still this in not a random process of buying and selling stock. We need a strategy for selecting a suitable stock as well as timing to buy and sell in order to make a profit.
Day Trading


Day Trading is the attempt to buy and sell stock over a very short period of time. The day trader hopes to cash in on the short term fluctuations in a stock's price. It would not be unusual for the day trader to buy and sell the same stock in a matter of a few minutes or to buy and sell the same stock several times a day.


Day traders sit in front of computer monitors all day looking for short term movement in a stock. They then attempt to get in on the movement before it reverses. The real day trader does not hold a stock overnight due to the risk of some event or news item triggering the stock to reverse direction. It takes intense concentration to monitor the minute by minute movement of several stocks.


Day trading involves a great deal of risk because of the uncertainty of the market behavior over the short term. The slightest economic or political news can cause a stock to fluctuate wildly and result in unexpected losses.


There are a few people who make respectable gains day trading. The people who probably make the most are the self proclaimed "experts" who sell the books or operate the web sites that cater to the day trader. Because of the profits to be made from sales to people who want to get rich quick, they make it seem as attractive as possible. The truth is that in the long run more people lose than gain by day trading. This does not translate into a very good investment.


Harry Hooper has over 30 years experience in portfolio management. He is the senior stock tracker for http://www.stock4today.com.

The stock market and investing myths part 2-five more investment myths exposed!

In Part 1 of this series on investment myths I exposed 5 commonly held beliefs about investing that are preventing many people from making as much money as they could with their investments. They are:


The stock market must go up to make money. Stock market investing is risky. Over 20 years the stock market always goes up. The best way to make money in stocks is to buy and hold. News and research groups have the hot stock picks.


I dispelled each of these myths and explained that they are the result of miseducation. The problem with miseducation is it leads to false understanding of the truth, and as many people have learned over the last year in the world of investing, not knowing the truth can be financially devastating.


In this article I am going to expose 5 more myths about the world of stocks and investing and share with you how you can not only correct your mistaken understandings but also profit from your new knowledge.


Myth #1: Investing in Stocks is Like Gambling


The myth that investing in stocks is like gambling is one of the oldest, most pervasive myths surrounding the stock market. In fact many people do not even realize they hold this belief. Yet unknowingly it appears in their words when they say things like, "You're betting the stock will go down" or "You're betting the stock will go up."


The idea that a smart investor is betting is ludicrous. Yet it has crept into an uneducated public to the point that many religious groups and social networks opposed to gambling have led their followers to believe the stock market is so riddled with gambling one would be better off playing the lottery. In fact nothing could be further from the truth.


The real fallacy here is the assumption that the investor is betting. As one who spends his life in the investment community, let me assure you no smart investor would ever bet. Betting is the exact opposite of what investors do. Investors spend their life learning and educating themselves about the investment they are about to make. Then they proceed to invest, trusting that their education was correct. If the investment goes against the investor, the honest investor still will not say, "I bet wrong." The honest investor will say, "What can I learn from this?"


Anyone who proceeds into any area of life without being properly educated could be seen as a gambler. But the more appropriate term would be foolish. To illustrate this point, let's take a person learning to drive a car. If the person has never ever driven a vehicle before, they may assert, "Since lots of people do it, so can I." But the foolishness comes when the person gets behind the wheel of a car and attempts to drive without first learning anything about driving a car. We could easily say that this person was gambling with his life, but the truth is it's simply foolishness.


Investing in the stock market is the same way. Millions of people hear how large amounts of money are made in the market. They see ads on television for cheap stock brokers, and one day think, "I can do that too." Truth is they CAN do it too-but only after they learn HOW to do it. For the educated investor, putting money into the stock market is an educated, analytical, thoughtful decision. And yet for the uneducated investor doing the same action is... well, foolish. Becoming educated first is the best way to successfully invest in the stock market. Myth: BUSTED


Myth #2: "Predicting" the Stock Market Is Impossible


On the heels of the assumption that investing in the stock market is gambling comes a follow-up myth: "Predicting the stock market is impossible." Again this fallacy comes down to the lack of education. For YOU to predict the stock market may be impossible, but not specifically for every person. In fact since the beginning of the stock market many investors around the world have successfully "predicted" the next moves. The author of this article is one of them (that would be me!). Predicting the stock market is not nearly as mystical as one might think. In fact the market moves in very predictable, repeating patterns, over and over again. And once a person is trained to watch and recognize those patterns, that person can also predict the next move with reasonable certainty. Myth: BUSTED


Myth #3: Mutual Funds Are the Safest Way to Make Money in the Stock Market


I suppose to dispel this next myth one must define what "safe" is. My definition of "safe" in regards to investing is an investment that has the ability to be profitable, not because of market conditions but in spite of market conditions. In other words, if the market goes up, I want an investment that can make money. If the market goes down, I want an investment that can make money. Yet mutual funds are not one of those investments. It boggles my mind as to why financial advisors continue to sell these investment vehicles to unknowing would-be retirees. It's an investment that can ONLY make money if the market moves higher. And to cover the weakness of the investment the sales pitch goes like this, "Over 20 years the market always goes higher..." Well what if I need to retire in 19 years and that's not an up year?


To me the most foolish investment a person can make is one that is confined to profit by the direction of the market. As such I believe mutual funds to not only be a poor choice for a safe investment, but I consider a mutual fund a very risky investment. If you do not believe me, just ask the majority of Americans who have lost about 50% of their retirement recently how things are working out for them and if they feel mutual funds are a safe, secure choice for investing. Myth: BUSTED


Myth #4: A 24% Annual Growth Is an Outstanding Return


Okay... I'll give you this one. Twenty-four percent annual rate of return is exceptional-if you're used to putting your money in a bank savings account. But a smart investor would never tie his/her money up for an entire year just to make a 24% return! Can you imagine any investor who would be willing to put up venture capital for a business that only promises 24% on the money? Of course you can't! And the stock market should be no different. In fact that's kind of what you're doing when you invest in the market. You're lending investment capital to the company while they continue to do business. But I guarantee you their business is bringing in more than 24% profit each year. The odds are that business is bringing in close to 100-200% profit EACH MONTH! And if you're fronting capital, you certainly deserve your fair share of that profit.


Mutual funds and investment services are loaded down with fees, transaction costs, and sales bonuses for the people who get you to give up your money for them to invest. And they get paid even if they do lose money-and YOU are the one who pays for all of it. By the end of the year, you're lucky if you have 24% left over. And those sales people who are getting paid from you? Well their job is to sell you the idea that 24% is a great return.


I myself would never make such an investment. When I place trades in the market I look for steady monthly cash flows that amount to a return that would stagger your mind if I told you. And ALL smart investors look for the same type of return. How much? Hmmm, let's just say investors think in terms of monthly returns, not annual returns, and we'll leave it at that. Myth: BUSTED


Myth #5: Learning to Make Money in the Stock Market Takes Years of Education


Of all the myths I dispel, this is probably the saddest. It's sad because people truly believe they are unable to learn how to make great monthly income in the market. They ask questions like, "Well, if it's so simple why isn't everyone doing it?" This is probably the most logical and natural question. The only answer I have is, "They don't know how." But I have seen hundreds of my own students learn to make consistent money in the stock market after only 2-3 months of focused training. How much training? Generally 4-8 hours a week. That's less time than the average American spends trying to build a network marketing business that seems to go nowhere.


The truth about investing is this: successful investing comes down to nothing more and nothing less than education. For the person who takes the time and spends the energy to learn, becoming a successful investor is not that far out of sight. In fact I believe pretty much anybody can learn how to successfully invest in the stock market in a year or less.


Just think-one year! That's less time than it has taken for most Americans to watch their stock portfolios fall while trusting the "all-knowing" financial advisors. One year-that's less time than it takes to earn a master's degree. One year-that's all it would take for a person like you to learn how to invest successfully as well. Myth: BUSTED


I hope you have seen how these 10 myths may have helped form your ideas of the stock market as a risky place to invest. I hope next time you hear your favorite Uncle Jimmy, or some announcer on TV, perpetuate these myths you will be quick to dismiss them as such and say to yourself, "I know better!"


How to Learn More


If what you have just read makes sense to you and you'd like to learn more, the best place to start is Trade Smart University's free workshop called the Foundations of Stocks and Options http://tradesmartu.com/site/index-foso.html You don't want to miss this free online workshop!


Jeremy Whaley is co-founder of Trade Smart University, an education company dedicated to helping everyday people learn to trade the stock market for consistent profits. If you would like to learn how to trade your own money for steady profits, visit http://www.TradeSmartU.com and experience affordable, accessible stock market education.